From Staff Reports – Courtesy of Corsicana Fire Department Assistant Chief Wade Gillen – Via NWS Fort Worth
Please see below for today’s National Weather Service forecast. We expect a total of 1.5” of rain with a low probability of flooding. Our greatest threat will be in the form of high wind conditions.
Expect the severe weather to arrive this afternoon at or near 2 to 3 p.m. and lasting into later this evening.
Bottom Line
Multiple rounds of showers and storms are expected today into tonight across North and Central Texas. A
few severe storms will be possible during this time with damaging winds being the main threat, mainly
along and east of the I-35 corridor.
Overview
● A line of showers and storms is expected this morning, ahead of an incoming cold front. Main
concerns are isolated damaging wind gusts and lightning. Brief spin-up tornadoes cannot be ruled
out.
● As the line progresses eastward this afternoon, the threat for strong to severe storms will
increase for areas along and east of the I-35 corridor. The main threats are damaging wind gusts,
but small hail cannot be ruled out. The tornado threat is low, but non-zero.
● Widespread flooding is not expected at this time as storms will likely move quickly.
○ However, any training storms that develop would yield localized flooding concerns. This
threat is most likely to occur over the east and northeast portions of the region.
● Rainfall amounts between 1-2 inches are expected for most areas, with isolated higher amounts
up to 3 inches possible.
● Additional showers and storms may develop late this evening and tonight, before tapering off
from west to east.
Areas of Concern and Impacts
Threats/Hazardous Weather Types
Forecaster Confidence
General Timing
What We Are Certain Of:
- Multiple rounds of showers and storms are expected over North and Central Texas starting Monday and lasting into Tuesday morning.
- The severe threat is highest late this afternoon and evening.
- Periods of heavy rainfall could cause localized flooding issues on Monday.
What We Are Less Certain Of:
- The exact location of the heaviest rainfall amounts.
- Extent of the severe weather threat through Monday evening.
When will the next email update be sent?
- This is the final email for this event.
Additional Resources
NWS Fort Worth Homepage: https://link.edgepilot.com/s/68c3087a/yEsa3egDlE2V9rxqTPaHAA?u=http://www.weather.gov/fortworth
Hourly Forecasts (Click your location): https://link.edgepilot.com/s/efd484d5/gm3FfR1jkkm2PAwYaFTUcg?u=https://www.weather.gov/forecastpoints
NWS Fort Worth Weather Tabs: https://link.edgepilot.com/s/4f8d75dc/t4NHLeVHiEeZAnm_3bbdCA?u=https://arcg.is/1S19nH
NWS Fort Worth Hazard Pages: https://link.edgepilot.com/s/1ba723bc/XRZ-i-44p06NenPCqWZftw?u=http://www.weather.gov/fwd/hazardplanner?nort%2CTODAY
NWSChat: https://link.edgepilot.com/s/bf2bf513/xp_ZfX10jUW8JEcgGEDoPw?u=http://nwschat.weather.gov/live
Who’s eligible for NWSChat: https://link.edgepilot.com/s/8ed05ef1/4pbub-kwJk_ZxGWIt9argA?u=https://nwschat.weather.gov/NWSChat_Terms_of_Use.pdf
NWS Fort Worth Briefing Page: https://link.edgepilot.com/s/8d7d8f68/Jh_u90FxjU6nNLEptH1eFw?u=https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=fd06a2bea0a64f0c90842761191e985b
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