From Staff Reports
There is a possibility of severe weather this evening and after midnight, however, the primary areas for concern should remain the our north.
Bottom Line
Severe thunderstorms are expected this evening into tonight, with the greatest severe weather potential across North Texas between 6 p.m. and midnight.
Overview
- Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop early this evening along a stalled front in western North Texas. These storms will spread eastward through North Texas and into East Texas heading into the night.
- All hazards including damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are possible with this activity.
- Threats for hail and tornadoes may be highest west of I-35 as storms initially develop.
- Storms may begin merging into a line east of I-35, leading to a greater potential for damaging straight-line winds.
- Instances of minor flooding are possible mainly from the DFW Metroplex north and east where localized rainfall totals of 1-3” are possible.
- All activity should end from west to east early Tuesday morning.
Areas of Concern
Threats/Hazardous Weather Types
Forecaster Confidence
General Timing
What We Are Certain Of:
- Severe storms will hold off until early this evening, with most areas remaining dry during the day.
- The greatest threat for severe weather will be along and north of I-20, closer to the slow-moving front.
- All activity will exit the area to the east/southeast early Tuesday morning.
What We Are Less Certain Of:
Storm mode remains uncertain. Initial storms will likely be supercells, perhaps consolidating into a line as activity moves into the I-35 corridor a few hours later. However, a faster growth into a line would result in primarily a damaging wind event with relatively lower hail/tornado threats.
Additional Resources
NWS Fort Worth Homepage http://www.weather.gov/fortworth
Hourly Forecasts (Click your location) https://www.weather.gov/forecastpoints
NWS Fort Worth Weather Tabs https://arcg.is/1S19nH
NWS Fort Worth Hazard Pages http://www.weather.gov/fwd/hazardplanner?nort,TODAY
NWSChat http://nwschat.weather.gov/live
Who’s eligible for NWSChat https://nwschat.weather.gov/NWSChat_Terms_of_Use.pdf
NWS Fort Worth Briefing Page https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=fd06a2bea0a64f0c90842761191e985b
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